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Pronounced /re NAYY ssance/ Club

The John Deere Classic held our attention last week as we entered the final round with an outright pick in second place and plenty of placements to cash in on. Scott Stallings came in fourth and didn't close the deal for us, but we did go 7-1 on our prop and placement predictions. Even "live" add Cam Davis after round one cashed a Top 20 with his 8th place finish. It pays to read the entire newsletter.

The Rennaissance Club is hosting its fourth Genesis Scottish Open and this one will be special. Based upon the list of competitors, the strength of field for Scotland's Open Championship will be the highest ever for a regular DP World/European Tour tournament.

• Four of the Top 5 in the world are playing

The collaboration between the DP World Tour and PGA Tour that brought this brainchild to life is reaping rewards in just the first year. The co-sanctioned event is sponsored by both tours and in advance of the 150th Open Championship, next week plans to give Scotland a sensational two-week celebration of fantastic golf. Starting with the weather and course conditions, here's what can we expect this week in North Berwick, Scotland:

• Scotland in the summer, temperatures will range from the mid-50's in the mornings to almost 70 degrees in the afternoon.
• Make note, TRC is located on the Firth of Forth. That's a big body of water and being a coastline course will be even cooler than that when we consider the wind. Speaking of wind, it will increase as the week carries on. Thursday through Saturday we expect 15-20 mph with gusts above that. Sunday could be a killer finish as the winds are going to be in the mid-20's with gusts into the 30's.

The Par 71, 7,293-yard layout will test the best. They have four Par 5's, five Par 3's and nine Par 4's. Those Par 4's can get pretty long as five of them measure over 450 yards. Throw in three Par 3's over 200 yards and you better bring some ball speed with you. This is the fourth time in a row the event will be played at TRC. The previous three editions:

• All ended in a playoff.
• 2019 was played in July 2020 was played in October (due to covid) and 2021 was played in July.
• Note the winning scores as a result - 2021 (-18), 2020 (-11), 2019 (-22)
• The odds of the winners at TRC for the least three years: Lee (+20000), Rai (+5000), and Weisberger (+4000)

We have had a busy two months on the PGA Tour. On top of travel, many of the world's elite are competing in the JP McManus Pro-Am on July 4-5. This invitational event only takes place every five years, so the field is stacked. Even Tiger Woods is playing! Will fatigue play a factor for some of these guys at this point, what skills will it take to contend and who will win?

Keep experiencing Read The Line to find out...

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"Great Scott!"

I really like this layout by Tom Doak. He's one of my favorite modern architects and any chance I get to play one of his works, I'm in! The Rennaissance Club is certainly one of his best and between the subtleness of the green surfaces and thought-provoking tee shots, the winner this week will have contended with a very well-rounded skill set.

It starts off the tee. Looking at the leaderboards from the last three Scottish Opens at TRC results prove that power helps. With four reachable Par 5's, a drivable Par 4, and three Par 3's over 200 yards, having speed helps considerably. With the firm and fast conditions, players will experience this week it will help shorter players hit it longer, but the bombers will be even closer. There's no substitute for power in the modern game and this course rewards it.

Strokes Gained Approach will get a lot of attention this week, but TRC has large greens. In the two July editions everyone in the Top 25 hit over 70% of their greens in regulation. The contenders hit over 80%. So getting to the green isn't the key, capitalizing when you do from closer proximity means more to my educated eye. I love guys who routinely hit the ball close. The winner will need 25+ birdies this week to claim the trophy so the more chances, the better.

Transitioning to slower greens every summer for the Open is easier for some players than others. I took a good look at three-putt avoidance in this group. With such high GIR numbers, players will be putting a lot. Whoever loses the least amount of strokes on those putting surfaces is someone I like.

With such a strong strength of the field, we need to look at players above a certain caliber. This event is equivalent to an Arnold Palmer Invitational, Memorial, or the Genesis at Riviera. Big-time fields bring out big-time players. It certainly has been the case in 2022 and I expect that trend to continue this week.

• Justin Thomas takes the week before a major seriously. He's not looking ahead. Much like his mentor Tiger, if he's on property JT is there to win. In 2022 in the week before a major championship, Justin has finished 3rd, 5th, and 3rd. He's one of the hottest and best players on the planet and he finished eighth here in 2021 with bookend 65's in the first and last round. Here are his rankings versus the field on the above analytics:
• The DP World Tour makes up half of the Scottish Open field. As such, we have to look very closely at who has been playing the best on their tour. It doesn't matter who you ask, they will all say the same name; Ryan Fox. He has seven Top 10 finishes this year and last week he finished runner-up at the Irish Open. In his last three DP Tour events, he hasn't finished outside the Top 3. Eleven of those twelve tournament rounds have been under par and seven have been in the 60's. He's long and scoring at will lately. Two 64's last week in Ireland is the point you need to know he's worth betting.

Outright winners - Scottish Open

Justin Thomas (+1400)

Ryan Fox (+4500)

Pick 3* (+5000)

Pick 4* (+5000)

(*- premium content)

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Check this out!

Our Celebrity Insider this week is Jerry Sarvadi, the CEO of The Rennaissance Club.

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